---

Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx


Re: Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx -- Posted by Dr. Andrew B. Chung, MD/PhD on 10-04-04 05:34


Louise wrote:
>
> In article ,
> ruben@mrbrklyn.com says...
> > On Fri, 01 Oct 2004 00:18:22 +0000, BilZ0r wrote:
> >
> > > I'm a bit confused. I was SURE I heard on PBS, that there was -some-
> > > early data that indicated an increased risk, and it wasn't until the
> > > colon cancer trial came out that they were sure. I can't find anything
> > > to back this up now, but it does seem odd, that if the RR was ~100%
> > > higher in the rofecoxib group, that initial phase II-IV trials didn't
> > > spot it.
> >
> >
> > There are many results which simply don't show up until you reach huge
> > numbers of trials. In the case of VIOXX the reduction of adverse affects
> > as compared to tradition NSAID was so large, that any risk was acceptable,
> > and now with newer agents and harder evidence, they are say it is not.
> >
> > The drug is not unsafe and unmarketable. It is not ***AS*** safe as newer
> > agents so they pulled the drug.
> >
> > Ruben
> >
> Problem is: if you are allergic to sulfa, as I am, then Celebrex and
> Bextra are not viable alternatives. Is there something else to try that
> would be as safe and, a "newer agent"? I had trouble with the old
> NSAIDs due to stomach and GERD issues.

Would suggest you ask your doctor about flavocoxids.

Example:

http://www.mcramerican.com/limbrel.htm


> TIA

You are welcome, Louise.

All praises belong to my heavenly Father, Whom I love with all my heart,
soul, and mind :-)


Servant to the humblest person in the universe,

Andrew

--
Dr. Andrew B. Chung, MD/PhD
Board-Certified Cardiologist
http://www.heartmdphd.com/

**
Who is the humblest person in the universe?
http://makeashorterlink.com/?L26062048

What is all this about?
http://makeashorterlink.com/?R20632B48

Is this spam?
http://makeashorterlink.com/?N69721867


Re: Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx -- Posted by Harvey R. Stone on 10-04-04 07:13



"Dr. Andrew B. Chung, MD/PhD" wrote in message
news:41614361.53A1@heartmdphd.com...
> Louise wrote:
>>
>> In article ,
>> ruben@mrbrklyn.com says...
>> > On Fri, 01 Oct 2004 00:18:22 +0000, BilZ0r wrote:
>> >
>> > > I'm a bit confused. I was SURE I heard on PBS, that there was -some-
>> > > early data that indicated an increased risk, and it wasn't until the
>> > > colon cancer trial came out that they were sure. I can't find
>> > > anything
>> > > to back this up now, but it does seem odd, that if the RR was ~100%
>> > > higher in the rofecoxib group, that initial phase II-IV trials didn't
>> > > spot it.
>> >
>> >
>> > There are many results which simply don't show up until you reach huge
>> > numbers of trials. In the case of VIOXX the reduction of adverse
>> > affects
>> > as compared to tradition NSAID was so large, that any risk was
>> > acceptable,
>> > and now with newer agents and harder evidence, they are say it is not.
>> >
>> > The drug is not unsafe and unmarketable. It is not ***AS*** safe as
>> > newer
>> > agents so they pulled the drug.
>> >
>> > Ruben
>> >
>> Problem is: if you are allergic to sulfa, as I am, then Celebrex and
>> Bextra are not viable alternatives. Is there something else to try that
>> would be as safe and, a "newer agent"? I had trouble with the old
>> NSAIDs due to stomach and GERD issues.
>
> Would suggest you ask your doctor about flavocoxids.

>
> Example:

>
> http://www.mcramerican.com/limbrel.htm

>
>


Very good suggestion for this persons problem and there are millions of
people just like her.
If they find down the road that this has a serious side effect for some
people,,,,, it will be pulled also and the lawyers will get involved and we
will read here its all about commercialism and bad old drug companies.
So it goes.
Harv



Re: Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx -- Posted by Ruben Safir on 10-04-04 08:58


On Mon, 04 Oct 2004 08:34:41 -0400, Dr. Andrew B. Chung, MD/PhD wrote:

> Would suggest you ask your doctor about flavocoxids.
>
> Example:
>
> http://www.mcramerican.com/limbrel.htm


That doesn't look like it is on the market yet, and I don't have any
information yet on it on the on line database. Will need tosearch Index
Medicus.

Ruben Safir RPh


Re: Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx -- Posted by BilZ0r on 10-04-04 16:35


Louise wrote in
news:MPG.1bca9833b69c728c98973d@news-server.nyc.rr.com:

> Problem is: if you are allergic to sulfa, as I am, then Celebrex and
> Bextra are not viable alternatives. Is there something else to try
> that would be as safe and, a "newer agent"? I had trouble with the
> old NSAIDs due to stomach and GERD issues.
>
> TIA
>
> Louise

My mother is seriously allergic to sulphonamides, but she's found celebrex
the most side-effect free drug she has ever taken.


Re: Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx -- Posted by Herman Rubin on 10-05-04 07:05


In article ,
Louise wrote:
>In article ,
>ruben@mrbrklyn.com says...
>> On Fri, 01 Oct 2004 00:18:22 +0000, BilZ0r wrote:

>> > I'm a bit confused. I was SURE I heard on PBS, that there was -some-
>> > early data that indicated an increased risk, and it wasn't until the
>> > colon cancer trial came out that they were sure. I can't find anything
>> > to back this up now, but it does seem odd, that if the RR was ~100%
>> > higher in the rofecoxib group, that initial phase II-IV trials didn't
>> > spot it.


>> There are many results which simply don't show up until you reach huge
>> numbers of trials. In the case of VIOXX the reduction of adverse affects
>> as compared to tradition NSAID was so large, that any risk was acceptable,
>> and now with newer agents and harder evidence, they are say it is not.

The problem with detecting RR is that the "effective sample
size", assuming equal numbers in the treatment and control
groups, is essentially the total number found to be at risk.
The thousands of others give VERY little information.

>> The drug is not unsafe and unmarketable. It is not ***AS*** safe as newer
>> agents so they pulled the drug.


>Problem is: if you are allergic to sulfa, as I am, then Celebrex and
>Bextra are not viable alternatives. Is there something else to try that
>would be as safe and, a "newer agent"? I had trouble with the old
>NSAIDs due to stomach and GERD issues.

This agrees with what I stated in an earlier posting. It
should be up to the individual to decide if this increased
risk is present or important, and to compare it with the
benefits.
--
This address is for information only. I do not claim that these views
are those of the Statistics Department or of Purdue University.
Herman Rubin, Department of Statistics, Purdue University
hrubin@stat.purdue.edu Phone: (765)494-6054 FAX: (765)494-0558


Re: Merck Withdraws Arthritis Drug Vioxx -- Posted by Herman Rubin on 10-01-04 12:05


In article ,
BilZ0r wrote:
>"M*a*r*k P*r*o*b*e*r*t-September 30, 2004"
>09-30-04@lambercartel.com> wrote in
>news:jwY6d.14308$kq6.7872091@news4.srv.hcvlny.cv.net:

>> That is not the marketing standard. A pharmaceutical must be proven
>> safe and effective prior to marketing. Testing, which is VERY
>> expensive sometimes does not show a problem until the cohort is very
>> large. In the Vioxx case, it was a post marketing follow-up that found
>> the problem.

>I'm a bit confused. I was SURE I heard on PBS, that there was -some-
>early data that indicated an increased risk, and it wasn't until the
>colon cancer trial came out that they were sure. I can't find anything
>to back this up now, but it does seem odd, that if the RR was ~100%
>higher in the rofecoxib group, that initial phase II-IV trials didn't
>spot it.

>But then again, according to forbes.com, there were 5 deaths in the
>placebo group, and 10 in the rofecoxib group. so I'd like to see some
>actual data on the confidence interval that would fit around that data.

Assuming that the sample sizes were equal (if not, some changes
need to be made in the calculations), the classical test of
significance would give a p-value of about .1509, not usually
being accepted as significant.

Bayesian calculations would give the "standard" posterior
odds as a function of the risk ratio, with 1.0 meaning no
difference in effect, as

risk ratio odds ratio

1.0 1.0

1.5 2.03

2.0 2.34

2.5 2.16

3.0 1.80

3.5 1.44

4.0 1.13

Remember that large risk ratios have smaller priors,
and the scale is more distorted than one would think.

If this is the actual data, with 15 total deaths, and
the sample sizes were equal, the risk should be made
public, and the drug still available. If there were
far more in the placebo group, the evidence would be
greater, and if there were more in the test group,
the evidence would be less.
--
This address is for information only. I do not claim that these views
are those of the Statistics Department or of Purdue University.
Herman Rubin, Department of Statistics, Purdue University
hrubin@stat.purdue.edu Phone: (765)494-6054 FAX: (765)494-0558

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